I’m just not sure about the validity of the prognosticators. How many years have the “Experts” told us hurricanes were going to be high in # & intensity only to see hardly any major storms.

I’ve seen a couple of el nino years that definitely fulfilled the hype(like 1988) but then there’s been some that were pretty snowy.

It’ll be what it is :headbang:

El Nino typically means that we get major dumpage in California, f-in yay!

I’m sorry if it means season suckage elsewhere. If it’s really bad, ya can come crash on my couch and ride out here.

Ooooh, the mid-summer wishful dreaming of deep pow days is heating up! I’m sorry to rain (no pun intended) on anyone’s snow parade, but I’ve heard the mid-summer El Nino forecasts so many times, and sometimes it only turns out to be El NONO. It’s only July; I’ll believe it if El Nino is solidly in place in November.

But for No. AZ it usually means very good things for us, though it usually includes 1 or 2 rain events.

@BGnight wrote:

Bring it on. I want a biiiiig Southern Sierra snowpack this year. Opens up so many sick lines in the upper elevations.

I totally agree, with my new found work furlough days I should be able to get some of this. 🙂

Well, so far the El Nino doesn’t look too bad. The SSTs are only .5 to 1 degrees above normal. It’s been really dry up here in the PNW for the last three months (and last winter) so I would think we are already in the middle of the El Nino. El Nino usally means drier weather for the PNW. Whatever, last year was suppose to be a normal winter and we didn’t have any snow for the month of Jan and most of Feb. But we did have lots of sunny days and that’s almost as good as a pow day, well for up here it is.

In the long run though I agree with the person who said “it is what it is” If there’s no snow up here this winter, I will have the excuse to travel. It’s always fun to ride new places. FOLLOW THE SNOW!

@jbaysurfer wrote:

I’m feelin’ LTR and BGK on this one, I think it’s still a bit early, but this one looks more like 97-98 than any nino-nina event since.

Sorry if it hurts some of you…but I’d welcome it happily!

I hope you’re right. My first visit to Tahoe was Feb. ’98 and it was straight up ridonkulous. Houses at lake level were buried to the second story. Had I been able to see any of the area through the blizzard and ride all the terrain that was closed, I would have moved to Tahoe way sooner than I did. I think Tahoe will get pounded, but only because we are due for a huge winter (don’t know if I should point out that we are way overdue for a 200″ year, too). The only prediction I’d really bet on, though, is that there will be snow and lines will be shredded. Now someone smack me over the head with a 2×4 and wake me up in November.

Thought I’d try to revive this topic a bit….

“THE DWEEBS ARE GETTING A STRANGE FEELING ABOUT THE UP COMING FALL……IT KINDA REMINDS ME OF THE SUMMER/FALL OF 1997. ALSO SOME RE-ANALYSIS CHARTS SHOW A SIMILAR AUGUST IN THE LATE 1940S. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THE LONG WAVE WEST COAST TROF STRENGTHENS INTO SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER.

DR HOWARD AND THE DWEEBS………………….:-)

PS. EL NINO IS ALIVE, WELL AND GROWING IN THE EQUATORIAL EASTERN PACIFIC”

http://izotz.com/dweebreport/

Oh yeah!!! Me likey!

@TEX wrote:

January 1998- a ten day period of waves double over head or bigger ( mostly in the tripple over head range)

best 10 days of surfing in my life

Bring on another like that please

I second this motion!

who doesn’t like el nino. :thumpsup:

I’m trusting you’ll be right lewmt. We have a week off in November. Ususally a bad time for a vacation, but it might be turns for vacation.