Joined: Thu Dec 02, 2004 4:26 pm Posts: 412 Location: S.F. Bay Area
Not quite sure when yet, but the forecasts are finally looking better. Chance of precit late this week or this weekend, with heavy chances early next week. Very cold with snow levles 'round 2000-2500....
Question is, if this comes in as cold as planned, and as gradual as planned, are we going to be looking at significant weak points in the snowpack due to the difficulty in bonding to the hard freeze showing up first thing in the morning on most aspects? Supposed to be a bit of wind early on which will only make things worse due to difficulty in bonding to the old snow. Probably be a bit sketchy for a little longer than usual after the first few snows.... Just mumbling aloud... Guess have to wait and see since this is still a week away at best guess...
Anyway, can't wait for Winter Part 2 to start.... Crossing my fingers...
Joined: Wed Nov 17, 2004 11:42 am Posts: 2392 Location: California
Check this WARNING!
A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE FIRST COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN THE VALLEYS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO 2000 FEET IN SHASTA COUNTY AND 4000 FEET IN THE SIERRA SOUTH OF LAKE TAHOE.2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.
THURSDAY WILL HAVE A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS...HOWEVER AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN VALLEYS AND FOOTHILLS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS FRONT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING HEAVY SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO THE VALLEYS. SNOW LEVELS BELOW 1000 FEET ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SNOW SHOWERS MAY FALL IN THE LOWEST VALLEYS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY IN AREAS AS LOW AS 1500 FEET FRIDAY NIGHT.
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH MORE MOUNTAIN SNOW AND VALLEY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
Unbelievable. Conditions should be amazing!!! (again)
Snow was great this morning in the Mt.Rose area. Be aware that there are some wind slabs forming. DFinn and I were surprised to find winds out of the N/NW loading crusty S/SE faces.
On a N/NE chute we had some wind slab formation at the top, as well as some sluff. We descended safely, and the snow was great.
On a SE face there was wind slabs on top of icey crust. On the ridge above it we experienced shooting cracks, 20' X 20' slab displacement, a whumpf or two, and a dog caused a small cornice to fall which displaced a small slab below it. We backtracked and did not descend that face. Chose a relatively unloaded SW treed area instead. Again really nice snow.