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 Post subject: It's a Good Year to be Recovering from Knee Surgery in Cali
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 9:52 am 
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Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:29 pm
Posts: 87
Location: Meyers
Where's our Halloween snow? Everyone else has snow:

Colorado, Montana, B.C., Alaska, Utah, Washington, Oregon.....Christ they even got nuked on the east coast!

I'm getting killed by these October TR's from everywhere but here!


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 12:21 pm 
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Joined: Wed Oct 06, 2004 10:57 pm
Posts: 4958
Location: California
yeah...I‘ve only gotten partially jealous so far. It will really get bad when I know my homies are getting some.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 1:42 pm 
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Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:29 pm
Posts: 87
Location: Meyers
Does this constitute gettin' sum?

Yesterday on the South Shore rim trail:

Image

Image


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 3:27 pm 
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Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:29 pm
Posts: 339
Location: Reno, NV
It'll be here soon. This isn't unusual. Last year we got spoiled with really great snow in October. And after all the July riding I don't even feel like it's late yet. Yet.

Nice pics BTW.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 3:56 pm 
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Joined: Wed Mar 16, 2005 8:41 am
Posts: 27
Location: Colorado
Poor Californians :cry:

Don't worry, you guys will be alright. I've been out only a few times in the b/c and while there is some decent coverage, it isn't as good as last year at this time. It will come, don't worry.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 4:33 pm 
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Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 2:23 pm
Posts: 453
Location: Howell Mt., Napa Valley
I made the call on summitpost some time ago, that ski season will start in NCal sometime between
Nov. 5-10. I watch the weather very closely. We got precip coming Nov. 1-8.
5000' foot snow levels in the Coast Range with several inches of water.
We've gotten spoiled the last two years with late October snow. Last year was a record breaker.
Ski season usually starts the last two weeks in Nov. to the first two weeks of Dec.
We are right on schedule.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 4:34 pm 
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Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 2:23 pm
Posts: 453
Location: Howell Mt., Napa Valley
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
400 PM PST MON OCT 31 2005

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
ACROSS NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA. THIS RIDGE GIVES WAY TO A WETTER...
COOLER...CLOUDIER AND AT TIMES WINDIER PATTERN BEGINNING TUESDAY
EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF FAST-MOVING
SYSTEMS MIGRATE ACROSS THE PACIFIC AND INTO THE WEST COAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...BROAD CYLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 51N 138W TO TRACK
SLOWLY CHUG EAST TO THE BC COAST DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. A BROAD
FETCH OF MOISTURE RIDING ALONG A 150+KT JET STREAM HAS ALREADY MOVED
INTO CANADA TODAY AND SUPPORTS THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST/ROCKIES. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS FOR TODAY
WERE ON TARGET WITH H5 HEIGHTS AT OR ABOVE 5800 METER ALONG THE
OREGON BORDER AND POINTS SOUTHWARD AT MON/12Z. AND THEY APPEAR ON
TRACK FOR A 300-METER HEIGHT FALL IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS (THU/00Z_H5
FROPA).

THE H5 TROUGH PASSAGE IS ON SCHEDULE THROUGH NW CALIF ZONES AT
THU/00Z WHICH INFERS THAT THE SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AXIS
WILL CARRY A LONG-DURATION FETCH OF MOISTURE AND ENERGY INTO THE
NORTH COAST BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH
WED EVENING. THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS STILL ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE SFC-H85 FRONT/BAROCLINIC ZONE WHICH STILL UP IN NW
OREGON. RAIN CHANGES TO SHOWERS BEHIND THE SFC-H85 FROPA. THE MODELS
HAVE SPED UP THE ADVANCING SFC-H85 FRONT IN THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS TO
A PLACE NEAR CRESCENT CITY BETWEEN TUE18Z-WED00Z. I CAN EASILY
ASSUME THE OLDER RUNS ARE STILL ON TRACK AND THIS NEW/FASTER 'FRONT'
IS NOTHING MORE THAN THE RAIN-COOLED AIRMASS AND A STRATOCU DECK. THE
OLD RUNS BROUGHT THE SFC-H85 BOUNDARY TO CEC AT WED 12Z. THAT SHOULD
STILL BE GOOD BASED ON THE 1000-850MB THICKNESS PROGS THAT BRING THE
1335-1345 METER BOUNDARY (SFC-H85 BOUNDARY) INTO AND THROUGH NW
CALIF ON WED AFTERNOON. LOOKING AT WHAT IS GOING ON IN WASH/OREGON
TODAY... THIS ALSO IS CORRECTLY PROGGED FROM 4 DAYS AGO. THE UPPER
FLOW IS_STILL_ON TRACK TO PARALLEL THE SFC-H85 BOUNDARY UNTIL
CROSSING 130W TUES NIGHT. STRONG IMPULSES ARE BEGINNING TO FORM
IN THE H85-H5 LAYER BENEATH THE UPPER-LEVEL JET AND ABOVE THE
SFC-H85 BOUNDARY LAYER FRONT IN STRONG SHEAR BETWEEN H7-H3. SO
AGAIN...WE WILL SEE A SHEARED MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM TUE NIGHT...BUT
THE SFC-H85 BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN IN SWRN OREGON TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE NEWEST RUNS ARE COLDER...SO THERE WILL BE A PERIOD SNOWFALL
NORTH OF ROUTE 299 ABOVE 4000FT RATHER THAN ABOVE 5000FT WED NIGHT.
WE CAN EXPECT A DEEPENING ONSHORE FLOW...MOISTURE AND COOL/COLD AIR
ALL DAY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS AGAIN THE FETCH OF H7-H3
LAYER FLOW REMAINS ONSHORE AND DEEP. THERE SHOULD BE A MIGRATORY
RIDGE ON SAT...PER ECMWF...BUT THEN ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH ON SUNDAY
INTO MON...SO LEFT THE NEXT SUN/MON PERIOD BROADBRUSHED FOR
PRECIPITATION. WILL SHIP OUT AN SPSEKA TO HIGHLIGHT THE UPCOMING
WEATHER SCENARIO BEFORE 6PM.

&&

.AVIATION...3-5 KFT CIGS CONTINUING APPROACH...WILL OVERSPREAD CEC W
TO E. TRICKY CALL ON VFR CIGS WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW INTENSIFYING LATE
TNGT. WILL DROP INTO MVFR CATAGORY WITH IDEA THAT ADIABATICALLY
COMPRESSED AIR WILL EAT UP SOME LOW LVL MSTR. ACV BENEFITED FROM
DRIER AIR WITH STRATCU DISSOLVING ON APPROACH OVER COOL NEAR SHORE
WATERS. SKC SHOULD HOLD THROUGH 02Z TUE BUT SUSPECT 3-5 KFT CIGS
WILL PUSH THRU THE REDWOOD CURTAIN AFTERWARD. DRY AIR ENTRENCHED
OVER MENDOCINO COUNTY INTERIOR AND SKC AT UKI THRU 18Z TUE WITH
SERIES OF HIGH CLOUDS RACING OVHD IN SWIFT SW FLOW ALOFT. LOWER
TROP MSTR WILL BRING MVFR CIG TO UKI LATE AFTN TUE AS CLD FRNT
PROPELS COOLER AIR/HIGHER RH THROUGH INTERIOR.


&&

.MARINE...18Z SHIP OB FROM VRBH6 VERIFYING GFS SFC WND ARND 30 KT IN
CURRENT FETCH REGION NR 48N 142W. FURTHER UPSTREAM SEVERAL MOVG
MARITIME REPORTS HINTING THAT GFS IS UNDERDONE. WITH ROBUST WAVE IN
SATELLITE SHOTS UNFOLDING THINK FULL GFS FETCH IS REALISTIC. WILL
BASED SWELL FCST ON FULL WW3 PROGS...BRINGING HGHTS TO 12-13 FT TUE.
FECTH DURATION REMAINS IMPRESSIVE OVER THE PACIFIC AS NEARING FETCH
REGION FINALLY CUTS OFF THU. PERIODS SHORTEN WITH FETCH APPROACH AND
14-16 FT 12 SEC SETS LATE WEEK WARRANTS HAZ SEAS WARNING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THU/FRI FOR THE WATERS.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2005 9:14 pm 
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Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2005 1:31 pm
Posts: 13
Location: Reno, NV
We totally got spoiled with that October stuff the last two years. I've been jonesin for the past few weeks, waiting for it. You are right though, soon enough!!!


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 01, 2005 6:40 pm 
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Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:29 pm
Posts: 339
Location: Reno, NV
Man, it's been warm the last few days. From the valley I can see the wimpy snow coverage on Rose and Slide is wasting away.


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