Forums Splitboard Talk Forum I’m starting to really like this La Nina chick
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  • #574616
    sdmarkus
    407 Posts

    It continues to appear that we will break a 40+ year record for snowfall by weeks end as the last three storms of March dump more snow upon Mammoth Mt. By mid week…..April certainly looks much kinder with some very nice periods of warn weather expected!

    As of this morning, Mammoth Mt reported 555.5 inches of snow this season. The prospects for another 4 to 5 feet by Sunday night look pretty good at this point. So the possibility of hitting 600 inches is still in the cards! For the record, we have never had a 600 inch snow year on Mammoth Mountain. Earlier reports were revised downward. Unfortunately, records were not kept for the great winters of 1969 or the fab year of 1952.

    The difference between this storm and the one over the weekend is that the weekend storm had little in the way of orographics, this one has plenty. However, what the weekend storm lacked in orographics because of southerly flow, it made up in moisture and UVM. Records show that 5 to 8 feet dumped upon Mammoth Mt. last weekend. And…..another between 2 and 3 feet fell yesterday!

    Discussion:

    New 12z WRF keeps the upper jet over Central Ca through the weekend, currently west to east with 110knot nose at 300mb pointed at Mammoth/ 18z today. Thus good orographics are expected with the next two storms. Today’s storm has been strengthening the past 6 to 8 hours with an active band of precipitation within the front now approaching the Bay area. Latest wave loop at 1600z shows a compact convective cold pool with open cellular Cu west of the Northern Ca coast at about 124west 41north. A nice jet streak stretches from beneath the upper center approaching the Monterrey Bay. This feature will be enhancing snowfall rates later today and tonight. Strong low level winds at 925MB are progged to reach 35 to 45 knots causing orographic lift, forcing”Very Heavy” snowfall rates between 5:00pm this afternoon and 11:00pm tonight. Snow fall rates should diminish rapidly after 10z Friday….post frontal.

    Looks like 3 to 4 feet over Mammoth Mt and about 2 feet in town by 12:00 noon Friday. Saturday/Ngts storm is a quick mover and a bit dryer. At the moment…..3 to 6 inches is expected in town and 6 to 12 up on the hill at this time. Then there is one last system just showing up in the models now for Sunday PM.

    The new 12z Thursday GFS has a windy showery northwest slider Sunday afternoon/ngt. I do not expect a lot of snow from that system, but certainly, there is a possibility of 1-3 inches of powder in town and 3 to 6 over the crest by Early Monday am. It looks like a cold….windy….showery system that will be out of here by Monday. Thereafter, we ridge up pretty quickly into mid week for some fab WX!

    :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas:

    #638259
    tiltedworld
    406 Posts

    Some places in Tahoe are reporting over 700 inches already and closing in on the 1937 record of 816in. The Sierra Nevada record is 881 inches just southeast of Kirkwood. With another 4-5 feet predicted by the end of the weekend, the snowpack is all-time epic.

    The main concern for me (other than the avy danger) is being able to actually get up there this weekend, as I’m sure there will be hwy closures.

    Maybe we should schedule a Labor Day splitfest at this rate, hahahahha!

    #638260
    JSteigs
    47 Posts

    Now it would just be nice if it would stop being windy, and nuking on my days off, I’m getting pretty tired of riding the resort. I’m really hoping to get out next week.

    #638261
    D-GREEN
    336 Posts

    Yeah… We’re having the worst/lowest snow year in 30+ years up in Alaska. 32″ base at Alyeska resort, Mammoth received more than that last night alone! :nononno:
    I’ll see ya’ll in April!!! :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas: :bananas:
    Unfortunately with couch legs and sea level lungs though. 🙄

    #638258
    sdmarkus
    407 Posts

    @d-green wrote:

    I’ll see ya’ll in April!!!
    Unfortunately with couch legs and sea level lungs though.

    Stoked you guys are coming down, way to to get after it. Bringing any of matanuska’s finest 😉

    Just pulled into town and it is glorious! Not sure I’ll be doing much BC this weekend with about 10 feet of fresh this week alone…nutts :drool:

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